{"id":131,"date":"2007-02-28T14:42:40","date_gmt":"2007-02-28T21:42:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.johnnylogic.org\/wp\/?p=131"},"modified":"2007-02-28T14:42:40","modified_gmt":"2007-02-28T21:42:40","slug":"frustrating-exchange-on-ockhams-razor-continued","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.johnnylogic.org\/blog\/2007\/02\/28\/frustrating-exchange-on-ockhams-razor-continued\/","title":{"rendered":"Frustrating Exchange on Ockham&#8217;s Razor Continued"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A follow-up to <a href=\"http:\/\/johnnylogic.crumpled.com\/2007\/02\/frustrating-exchange-on-ockhams-razor.html\">my previous post<\/a> on this frustrating exchange. Here is my final post with Gkochanowsky&#8217;s embedded replies.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Your characterization of philosophy is ridiculous (again a <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Straw_man_argument\" title=\"Straw man argument\">straw man argument<\/a>). Do you forget that the origin of some of our sciences is in philosophy? <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Adam_Smith\" title=\"Adam Smith\">Adam Smith<\/a>, father of modern economics, philosopher; <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Gottfried_Leibniz\" title=\"Gottfried Leibniz\">Gottfried Leibniz<\/a>, co-creator of the calculus, philosopher; <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/William_James\" title=\"William James\">William James<\/a>, pioneering psychologist, philosopher; <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Bertrand_Russell\" title=\"Bertrand Russell\">Bertrand Russell<\/a>,  great logician aiding in the production of a logical foundation for  mathematics and much more (paving the road for computer science),  philosopher, etc. I anticipate that you will say that their  contributions are science and their failings are philosophy, by  definition&#8211; a cheap tautological victory that shields you from ever  having to learn anything about philosophy.  <\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Science uses criteria which I have restated often enough, it has  experiment on reality and it prefers explanations that win in fidelity  and predictability, not simplicity. Simplicity is nice, but hardly a  criteria of preference in scientific explanations.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>I&#8217;m afraid that what you list is insufficient for uniquely identifying a theory; <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Underdetermination\" title=\"Underdetermination\">underdetermination<\/a> is a specter that cannot be banished that easily. There are quite  literally an infinite number of theories\/models\/inferences logically  consistent with any finite number of data points in a possibility space  equivalent to the reals. <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Curve_fitting\" title=\"Curve fitting\">Curve fitting<\/a> is an excellent example to illustrate this point. How do we determine  which curve wins-out in &#8220;fidelity and predictability&#8221;? I can tell you  why a particular one wins in terms of simplicity and fit, and, better,  how it enables important epistemic goals (reliability, predictive  accuracy, etc.). Again, please look at the literature.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>How often do you think the situation arises where there are two  competing explanations that predict the exact same outcomes? And if you  can name just one instance can you tell me what actually happened? Do  you actually think that everyone asked, &#8216;which is the &#8220;simplest&#8221;?&#8217; Of  course not. Has it ever occurred to you that scientific explanations  have become broader and broader over time? That in many cases seemingly  more complex explanations are actually simpler in application in  certain circumstances. And because the explanations are now so broad  this happens all the time. This idea that somehow the &#8220;simplest&#8221;  explanation wins out is just nonsense. <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/User:Gkochanowsky\" title=\"User:Gkochanowsky\">Gkochanowsky<\/a> 01:35, 24 February 2007 (UTC)<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>From whence does your monolithic understanding of scientific  methodology come? Any references? Does it change your mind that  scientists have also written on the significance of simplicity as a  theoretical virtue (e.g. Zellner, A., Keuzenkamp, H. &amp; McAleer, M.  (eds.) (2001) Simplicity, Inference and Modelling: Keeping It  Sophisticatedly Simple, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.): The  editors of [Simplicity, Inference and Modelling] &#8220;sent out surveys to  25 recent Nobel laureates in economics. Almost all replied that  simplicity played a role in their research, and that simplicity is a  desirable feature of economic theories (Zellner et al. 2001, p.2).&#8221;  (from the article on <a href=\"http:\/\/plato.stanford.edu\/entries\/simplicity\/\" title=\"http:\/\/plato.stanford.edu\/entries\/simplicity\/\" rel=\"nofollow\">Simplicity at Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy<\/a>).<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Why do you keep citing philosophies take on science. I could care  less what philosophy has to say about science. When philosophy comes up  with a &#8216;philosophy of philosophy&#8217; perhaps I might consider it  authoritative on itself but until then I wish philosophers would mind  their own business. I am very much aware that each person has their own  concept of what constitutes &#8220;simple&#8221; or &#8220;elegant&#8221; or &#8220;beautiful&#8221; or  whatever. So what? As I have stated before it matters not what  mechanism you use to concoct your explanation. Use dreams for all I  care. Use any esthetic you like. But in the end as far as science is  concerned it will not be judged on any of those things, but on fidelity  and predictive power. If such esthestics were the actual criteria of  science then QM would never have seen the light of day. Do you have any  idea how many explanations have been created by well respected  scientists that thought they were &#8220;simple&#8221;, &#8220;elegant&#8221;, &#8220;beautiful&#8221; or  whatever and they were flat out wrong? It far, far, far outweighs the  number that statisfied these estheics but were right. To ignore this is  to practice magical thinking. To concentrate on the confirming  instances but ingore the disconfirming instances is self foolery. Of  course we don&#8217;t normally hear about the failures but only an idiot with  no actual experience and knowledge of science would think that they are  not there. Dirac&#8217;s big number hypothesis comes to mind, and I was there  when he gave the talk, and it is still just a &#8220;simple&#8221; idea but it is  not science. I doesn&#8217;t have any predictive power. And just because  Dirac came up with it doesn&#8217;t mean it was any good. <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/User:Gkochanowsky\" title=\"User:Gkochanowsky\">Gkochanowsky<\/a> 01:35, 24 February 2007 (UTC)<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>My efforts are better spent editing this entry. Like AceMyth, I  will swallow a frog and leave you to your ad hominems and categorical  statements; maybe (hope beyond hope) you will actually look at the  resources that I have provided and try to see what use OR might be in  theory selection, and thus, science. <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/User:Johnny_Logic\" title=\"User:Johnny Logic\">Johnny Logic<\/a> 23:23, 22 February 2007 (UTC)  <\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>You seem to think you know something about philosophy. Perhaps you  never learned that argument from authority is a fallacy. At best all  you can do is present what they thought, but it doesn&#8217;t make it right.  If you are going to convince me how about doing some science instead of  philosophy. Present observations of instances of competing scientific  explanations where the preferred explanation was chosen using Ockham&#8217;s  razor. Otherwise make all the claims you like, the emperor has no  clothes. <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/User:Gkochanowsky\" title=\"User:Gkochanowsky\">Gkochanowsky<\/a> 01:35, 24 February 2007 (UTC)<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Again he repeats himself. No argument, just holding the goal posts up so that only science can validate scientific method. And, of course, he hurls a few more insults, impugning my understanding of philosophy and so on. As I wrote, I gave him the last word on Wikipedia, so I do not intend to enguage him any further. <\/p>\n<p>At Gkochanowsky&#8217;s last word, an administrator posted the following:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p><strong>Wikipedia is not a forum.<\/strong> Since none of this has feed into the article, perhaps you might consider continuing your debate elsewhere? <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/User:Banno\" title=\"User:Banno\">Banno<\/a> 02:24, 24 February 2007 (UTC)<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>I certainly agree with this suggestion. Gkochanowsky replies with a whine:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>I&#8217;ve tried that in the past but it soon gets edited out by Ockham  enthusiasts. That leaves the discussion. Which of course is exactly  what has been going on. <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/User:G\nkochanowsky\" title=\"User:Gkochanowsky\">Gkochanowsky<\/a> 03:56, 24 February 2007 (UTC)<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>AceMyth returns with some constructive suggestions about leveraging the conversation into positive changes in the Occam&#8217;s Razor entry, and Gkochanowsky comes back to play repeat himself and complain some more:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>Hopping in: If the issue actually is improving the article rather  than taking slights at each other regarding our understandings of the  relation between philosophy and science then there shouldn&#8217;t be much of  a fundamental problem here. This isn&#8217;t the first time Wikipedia has  ever stumbled upon the challenge of a controversial subject, after all.  As long as you can cite a few prominent sources in the literature of  science that take the position that Occam&#8217;s razor is irrelevant or  useless (so as to avoid <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/WP:NOR\" title=\"WP:NOR\">original research<\/a>)  and fairly represent the gist of their arguments, a &#8220;Is Occam&#8217;s Razor  important to science?&#8221; section or something to that extent should work  just fine. (Plus on the other hand some of Johnny Logic&#8217;s references to  sources that find the razor useful\/important could definitely find  their place in the article, as a counter-balance to this or otherwise).  &#8212;<a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/User:AceMyth\" title=\"User:AceMyth\">AceMyth<\/a> 15:50, 25 February 2007 (UTC)<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>That is a good point. However the onus is on those that contend  that Ockham&#8217;s is an important criteria of preference in science. And  the only way they can honestly support that claim it not to cite  philosophers, but to cite instances in science where one explanation  was preferred over another solely on the basis of Ockham&#8217;s. And cases  of particluar scientists claims of use in concocting their proposed  explanation are only applicable in those instances where the competing  explanations the particular scientist was considering, and the claimed  &#8220;simplest&#8221; explanation are also presented for examiniation. Otherwise  they have nothing to back up their claims. What you are asking of me is  to prove a negative, something as you all know is impossible to do if  we are talking about actual reality. <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/User:Gkochanowsky\" title=\"User:Gkochanowsky\">Gkochanowsky<\/a> 20:09, 26 February 2007 (UTC)    <\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>What you can or can&#8217;t prove isn&#8217;t the point here. Your argument  could be the most spectacular piece of absolute brilliance and the  opposing view a huge staggering mistake, and Wikipedia would still be  about <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/WP:NPOV\" title=\"WP:NPOV\">reporting controversies, not ruling in them<\/a>.  As long as there&#8217;s anybody of significance who shares your opinion you  should just present their arguments and let them speak for themselves  (note that said arugments might very well be of the very form you used,  namely that the burden of proof lies on people who claim the razor to  be important, and you can&#8217;t prove a negative etc.). If you can&#8217;t find  any significant existing literature to take this point of view, on the  other hand, then there are plenty of good places to construct an  argument, present your own conclusions and get a discussion going.  Wikipedia just isn&#8217;t one of them. &#8212;<a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/User:AceMyth\" title=\"User:AceMyth\">AceMyth<\/a> 20:32, 26 February 2007 (UTC)<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>I will, as time allows, do as AceMyth suggested and incorporate the ideas and references in my comments into the OR entry.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A follow-up to my previous post on this frustrating exchange. Here is my final post with Gkochanowsky&#8217;s embedded replies. Your characterization of philosophy is ridiculous (again a straw man argument). Do you forget that the origin of some of our sciences is in philosophy? Adam Smith, father of modern economics, philosopher; Gottfried Leibniz, co-creator of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-131","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","czr-hentry"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p71YpQ-27","jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.johnnylogic.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/131","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.johnnylogic.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.johnnylogic.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.johnnylogic.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.johnnylogic.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=131"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.johnnylogic.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/131\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.johnnylogic.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=131"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.johnnylogic.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=131"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.johnnylogic.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=131"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}